Seattle Tipoff

Estimated probability NBA basketball is back in Seattle before 2030

65%

Market 81%

Model stale: updated 15h ago

Hover or tap a day for context.

Recent signals

No signals · last 14d

No new signals in the last 14 days. See 30-day archive →

Drivers

Full breakdown →

Force impact (pp) · 30-day news sentiment

  • Board of Governors Vote
    Board of Governors Vote impact: +9 ptsNews sentiment: Quiet0 items
  • Rights/Branding Resolution
    Rights/Branding Resolution impact: +2 ptsNews sentiment: Quiet0 items
  • Arena Readiness
    Arena Readiness impact: +2 ptsNews sentiment: Quiet0 items
  • Expansion Fee
    Expansion Fee impact: +2 ptsNews sentiment: Quiet0 items
  • Ownership Group
    Ownership Group impact: +1 ptsNews sentiment: Quiet0 items
  • Schedule Slot
    Schedule Slot impact: -1 ptsNews sentiment: Quiet0 items
  • Expansion Draft Rules
    Expansion Draft Rules impact: -1 ptsNews sentiment: Quiet0 items

The story

8 items

May 21 item

  1. Tailwind:

    Probability moved up 2.6 pts.

    +2.6 pts

Apr 11 item

  1. Context:

    Ownership reporting continues

Mar 252 items

  1. Tailwind:

    Probability moved up 20.9 pts.

    +21.0 pts

  2. Tailwind:

    BoG reportedly explores expansion

Dec 1, 20241 item

  1. Tailwind:

    NBA discusses expansion interest

The weekly briefing

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